The labor market is surprisingly strong, but job loss has slowed in these sectors: why might that affect workers’ bargaining power?

Friday’s jobs report showed surprising strength in the labor market, but there are signs that all may not be well for all workers. Attrition in low-wage sectors like retail, leisure and hospitality is slowing, said Nick Bunker, an economist at Indeed Hiring Lab. That means people working in those sectors probably have less bargaining power … Read more

It’s an ‘upside down’ recession and here’s what it means for the market

It’s work Friday. The release of the monthly US Non-Farm Payrolls report is always a highlight for Wall Street, particularly in an uncertain monetary policy environment when traders are hypersensitive to factors affecting the Fed’s thinking. In fact, the resilience of the labor market is causing many market watchers to say that, despite suffering two … Read more

Opinion: The bond market has a strong opinion on inflation, but what does it say about a recession?

Every time the Federal Reserve starts to tighten financial conditions, markets try to guess how far the central bank will go. Indeed, now in an era where it provides its estimates of future policy in a framework known as “the dots,” the Fed itself is providing guidance on where the fed funds rate will land. … Read more

Will the stock market rally turn into a sell-off? This Bond Market Indicator Could Alert Investors

Now that the Federal Reserve appears to have abandoned your forward facing tool In favor of being “data dependent” to help inform their future path for rates, investors should keep an eye on this gauge of inflation expectations for signs of a change in market sentiment. Look at the five-year breakeven rate of inflation, one … Read more

Financial markets may see a three-month run of 8.8% inflation readings starting next week, adding to ‘bad news’

Savvy financial market inflation traders expect a run of headline US consumer price readings of roughly 8.8% annually over the next three months, beginning with the release of July data on August 10. While such readings would be down from June’s 9.1% reading and support the theory that inflation may have hit a nearly 41-year … Read more

I am the chief economist for a mortgage firm that has financed over $100 billion in loans. These are 3 things you need to know about the real estate market right now.

cameron findlay As home prices and mortgage rates rise and housing inventory remains severely limited, many homebuyers are asking: Should I buy? And if I want to buy, what do I need to know now about the real estate market? That’s why MarketWatch Picks created a Serie where we asked leading economists and real estate … Read more

‘Continuing home price deceleration.’ Here’s what 5 economists and real estate pros predict will happen to the housing market this year

What will happen in the housing market this year? Getty Images When will home price growth really slow down? Will mortgage rates continue their upward climb? What do I need to know if I’m trying to buy a house now? These are all questions we’re hearing from readers, peers and others, so we asked top … Read more

‘Continuing home price deceleration.’ Here’s what 5 economists and real estate pros predict will happen to the housing market this year

What will happen in the housing market this year? Getty Images When will home price growth really slow down? Will mortgage rates continue their upward climb? What do I need to know if I’m trying to buy a house now? These are all questions we’re hearing from readers, peers and others, so we asked top … Read more